Telangana receives rainfall from both the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal branches of the SW monsoon. The state is on the leeward side of the Eastern Ghats and receives a large portion of its rainfall from Bay of Bengal depressions tracking across Odisha and Chhattisgarh. For live maps, open VayuMet.
| District / City | Day 1–2 (mm) | Day 3–4 (mm) | Day 5–7 (mm) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyderabad | 2–8 | 5–18 | 10–30 | Moderate |
| Warangal | 3–10 | 8–22 | 12–35 | Moderate |
| Nizamabad | 3–10 | 5–20 | 10–30 | Moderate |
| Karimnagar | 3–10 | 8–20 | 12–32 | Moderate |
| Khammam | 5–15 | 10–28 | 18–45 | Moderate |
| Nalgonda | 2–8 | 5–18 | 10–28 | Moderate |
| Mahbubnagar | 2–8 | 5–15 | 8–25 | Moderate |
| Adilabad | 3–12 | 8–22 | 15–40 | Moderate |
Note: Khammam and Bhadradri districts bordering Chhattisgarh receive more rainfall than the Telangana plateau average. GFS performs reasonably well over Telangana's relatively flat terrain.
2026 National Context: IMD's April 2026 LRF projects below-normal rainfall at 92% of LPA nationally. El Niño suppression is significant over south and central India including Telangana. Onset over Telangana is expected around 10–12 June — a few days earlier than the climatological mean of 15 June, following the early 2026 Kerala onset.
Eastern Telangana borders Chhattisgarh and receives the most rainfall in the state from Bay of Bengal depressions. Khammam averages ~1,200 mm and is often the first district to receive the monsoon in the state. Despite the 2026 below-normal national outlook, eastern Telangana's proximity to BoB moisture provides some resilience. Onset expected around 8–10 June.
Hyderabad receives 750–850 mm annually in a bimodal pattern — July–August from the monsoon trough and October from retreating NE monsoon. The city is vulnerable to flash flooding during intense convective events. El Niño is expected to reduce total JJAS rainfall for the Hyderabad metro area in 2026.
Northern Telangana (Nizamabad, Adilabad) receives 900–1,000 mm — this region also benefits from BoB depressions. Western Telangana (Mahbubnagar, Jogulamba Gadwal) is drier and more El Niño sensitive — below-normal rainfall is likely in 2026.